Property poor in cottage country: Why legacy landowners can’t keep their land

By Joe O’Connor

PORT CARLING, Ont. — Gord Carr set some old family photos on a wooden counter inside the Carr Greenhouse on Carr Road, a garden centre on the periphery of Port Carling, Ont. It was a sweltering Sunday afternoon in prime Ontario cottage country, doubly so inside the greenhouse, where Carr and his younger sister and business partner Leslie and their respective common-law spouses, Heidi Berninger and Kevin Broad, were doing what they typically do 10 or more hours a day, seven days a week, during the tourism high season: working.

“We can’t afford to stop,” Carr said.

Port Carling is a gateway to lakes Rosseau, Muskoka and Joseph, collectively known as the Muskokas, and sensationally known in media headlines as the “Hamptons of the North,” since the freshwater and pine tree paradise is frequented by the rich, and occasionally famous, some of whom arrive at their waterfront mansions aboard float planes or, more lately, helicopters, and are met by a five-star meal prepared by a personal chef.

But right alongside them are the cash-strapped, unsung locals. People like the Carrs, a fifth-generation Port Carling family, with black-and-white photos depicting the pioneering family members who came before them, not to build palatial vacation homes, mind you, but to carve a living from the northern woods.

Theirs is a much grittier tale of survival, one that doesn’t include a personal chef. District of Muskoka figures show that about 60 per cent of the region’s year-round population of 66,000 or so earn less than $50,000 a year. Year-round employment is hard to find, and even if there were good-paying jobs in abundance, housing is scarce and well beyond the reach of most young families.

The twist in this narrative of opulence in the face of great need is that the Carrs own more land than most of their wealthy neighbours do, well over 100 acres in total, including a stretch of pricey waterfront real estate on Lake Rosseau. They also share something in common with the über rich: big capital gains taxes when they die.

A quick scan of the local real estate listings reveals that cottage prices start at about $1.5 million and zoom past $20 million. But don’t ask the Carrs about selling because they aren’t interested. Instead, they see themselves as “property poor” hangers-on to an irreplaceable family legacy.

“I don’t care about money,” Gord Carr said. “What we have here is something that we could never buy if we got rid of it, and I want to be able to keep this land so that I can give it to my kids.”

Hence the greenhouse, the latest addition to a generations-old, hustle-or-go-bust family enterprise centred around looking after wealthy vacationers’ needs. Carrs present and past have been fixing leaky roofs, planting gardens, storing boats, troubleshooting stinky septic beds, shovelling roofs in winter and cleaning up after cottagers’ messes for as long as anyone in the “Port,” as they refer to it, can remember.

What keeps the siblings going, in addition to their old-fashioned work ethic, is a deep, non-transactional attachment to the land, and an equally deep sense of foreboding that upon their exit from this life — and Carr is pushing 60 while Leslie is knocking on the door of 55 — the capital-gains taxman is destined to stick their kids with a bill they won’t possibly be able to pay.

Harbouring a healthy fear of the tax code is not unique to the Carrs, particularly among the dwindling number of original land grant families still in the area. Once upon a time, pre-Confederation, the Upper Canada government was anxious to populate areas beyond the established settlements. Of course, these lands were already populated by First Nations, but such is the history of our country.

Pioneers started popping up in the Muskokas around the 1840s, drawn by what sounded like the deal of the 19th century: 100 acres of free land. All a settler had to do was clear at least two acres of land, build a 16-by-20-foot residence and live there for five years.

“It sounds easy, doesn’t it?” Sue Daglish, a Port Carling resident, long-time cottager and local historian, said. “But the stunning fact is that 14 of every 15 of the free land grantees couldn’t make it, and they abandoned the grant.”

The ones who stuck it out generally fell into one of three categories: those who happened to get a chunk of what were very rare arable acreages; those who found work in nearby lumber camps, felling the white pines coveted by the Royal Navy; and tourists.

It turns out the Hamptons of the North have always attracted the wealthy. The profile of the well-to-do visitor circa 1880s was a young male from a family of means who, as Daglish puts it, was eager to test his ambitions and “virility” against Mother Nature.

The 87-year-old’s grandfather William Middleton was among those early adventurers. While roughing it in the backwoods, he came upon an abandoned settlers’ cabin and bought the property from the local land grant officer for $100.

Middleton was a lawyer who did rather well, ultimately serving as an Ontario Supreme Court justice for 33 years. There is even a book about him, Middleton: The Beloved Judge, published in 1988. His granddaughter retired to the area with her husband about 20 years ago, and they are equally active on the local scene as anti-poverty activists, as well as being sometime clients of the Carrs.

Leslie Carr designed Daglish’s garden and she tends to her flower boxes, while Gord took one look at an old log cabin that had been damaged by fire, one that another contractor said required $300,000 in repairs, and did the job for $10,000. Other services are rendered at no charge, including smoothing a bumpy gravel driveway and changing tires according to the season.

“Gord and Leslie are very special to us,” Daglish said. “They are doing whatever they can to hold onto their land.”

Daglish and her husband Ted sold a chunk of their land — they still have 36 acres and 1,000 feet of shoreline — and put the money in a trust, knowing full well that a tax bill was looming, and they weren’t getting any younger.

Middleton’s $100 real estate purchase was valued at less than $2,000 in the mid-1950s. By Daglish’s best guess, the property would fetch anywhere from $10 to $15 million today, but, like the Carrs, she is not interested in selling.

Unlike the Carrs, she has a financial ace in the hole: her son-in-law, who has also done very well for himself, and can absorb the tax hit and associated maintenance costs on the property that has been in the family for 145 years.

“I can’t imagine not living here,” Daglish said.

Capital gains were treated as tax free prior to 1972, according to Jason Heath, a financial planner and managing director of Objective Financial Partners Inc. But any property purchased, or gifted at no cost, prior to 1972, needs to be given a value as of 1972 to calculate the capital gains on it.

Let’s assume at the top end, the Carr family’s spread 50 years ago rang in at $50,000 and is today valued at several million. To calculate the capital gains, you subtract the $50,000 cost from today’s value, and the result can then be taxed in Ontario at a rate as high as 27 per cent.

Ouch.

Heath said there are some tax code nuances and loopholes that the Carrs might be able to tap to mitigate the blow. But his advice? Get some professional advice, ASAP.

“You hear the statistic, where 50 per cent of people don’t have wills, and it is almost like if you just ignore things, maybe they will go away and not be an issue,” he said. “But this is obviously a looming issue that will need to be dealt with at some point, and the earlier you plan for it the better.”

Not all is lost. The Carrs, after all, are a resourceful bunch, and they don’t intend to go down without a fight. George Carr, the first Carr to appear in the Muskokas, was a stowaway on a boat out of Manchester — at age 13 — according to family lore.

He possessed some skill as a mason, spent time working in Toronto, gradually tracked north as a farm labourer before arriving on the property his great-grandchildren share today, and married Isabella James.

The ex-stowaway was described as a man of “diverse talents, a baker, a plasterer and a farmer” in a book about Port Carling published in 1953. In sum, he was a guy who did what he had to do to survive, including using a rowboat to deliver fresh produce grown on the family farm to the early cottagers.

Today, his descendants fix old cabins and sell flowers cultivated in the two greenhouses they built a few years ago at the base of a track leading to the old farmhouse.

“We have always worked for the cottagers; generations of Carrs have been doing this,” Leslie Carr said.

She is wiry and burnished by the sun, with pale green eyes, red hair and strong opinions. She doesn’t resent the summer people, rather, she understands who pays the bills, although she does chuckle when describing the urban tycoons who come north without the foggiest clue as to how to fix a loose shower tap — or practically anything else. She once tried living in nearby Bracebridge, population 16,000, for three months, and describes the experience as awful.

“The noise, the traffic, people being in a rush, I hated town,” she said.

The Carrs have been in business long enough to be able to be a little choosy as to whom they work for. Their criteria? Clients who don’t present as arrogant, self-entitled jerks.

Part of the rationale behind the greenhouses was so that Leslie could grow her plants in-house, but the move was also part of a strategy to get the old farm rezoned from residential back to agriculture. The agricultural designation would reduce the property taxes in the near term, and could, perhaps, mitigate the capital gains tax hit once she and Gord pass on.

But the more immediate existential threat facing the younger generation of Carrs is where to secure full-time employment and housing, assuming they don’t want to move elsewhere, or live with mom and dad for the rest of their lives.

These are two subjects Peter Kelley, Mayor of the Township of Muskoka Lakes, spends a lot of time thinking about. He isn’t a long-time resident, having arrived — as many others do — after making a bundle as a lawyer and banker in the big city and buying a cottage. Kelley planned to retire at 57 and spend his days tinkering around with vintage cars and old boats, but then he got involved in local politics.

“The single-largest challenge in this community is year-round, meaningful employment at a livable wage, and you have heard that a million times, from a million different places,” he said.

The mayor said his wife Valerie Duke, who is from old Port Carling stock, and her forebears made a worldwide name for themselves by building hand-crafted wooden boats, the kind that today win awards at antique boat shows. And therein lies his point: the wooden boat industry was disrupted by the rise of fibreglass boats in the 1950s, and an industry that anchored a local economy withered away.

Kelley has a few ideas on how to revitalize the place. One would be having a skilled-trades college set up in a community with tons of demand and money, but not enough tradespeople to meet people’s needs. Another involves mining the abundant, semi-retired brain power that own vacation homes nearby, and perhaps creating a world-class institute of some kind that could host global experts in, say, environmental and clean water issues in a pretty spot by the lake.

Here’s the problem: all these imagined newcomers, be they thinkers tackling the questions of our age or carpenters tackling a new hangar for some one-percenter’s helicopter, would need somewhere to live.

“We can’t study this anymore,” Kelley said. “We have got to build, and we need people who know how to work a shovel to get involved.”

Translation: politicians need to get out of the way and let the folks with dirt beneath their fingernails take a crack at solving the affordable housing crisis.

Gord Carr has a small mortgage on his home on Carr Road, a stone’s throw from his sister’s place, also on Carr Road. Beyond the mortgage, he and Leslie have zero debt. Yet they do have some issues around family harmony.

Their father passed away in 2017, and their younger brother Keith made it clear, with the help of a lawyer, that he wanted to cash out and sell the land. The brothers had worked together forever. Now, they don’t even talk. A chunk of land was sold. It remains a touchy subject.

Some wheeler-dealers have approached the Carrs about selling the rest of the property, but it is not a conversation they are willing to entertain, at least not yet, possibly not ever.

There is a hilltop a short hike from the greenhouse, past the sugar maples the Carrs tap to make syrup. It had been a while since Gord had been up the old path to the bald, rocky outcrop known as Syb’s Head, so named because Syb, a character from the olden days, was himself bald.

Gord has a full head of hair and sideburns, and he scrambled to the summit despite being in gardening clogs. The view from the top was pure magic. Sure, some monster cottages shimmered in the distance, but the playhouses of the rich are dwarfed by the immensity of the land, blue water, big sky and pine trees.

It is here that the Carrs call home and want their descendants to as well, despite what the taxman may have to say about it.

“There is a pride attached to having this land in our family for so many generations,” he said. “We don’t want to lose it.”

Real estate market still tilted in sellers’ favour

CAROLYN IRELAND

The spring buying spurt in Canada’s real estate market has likely run its course but sellers continue to hold sway in many cities.

Robert Hogue, assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada, believes the slower pace of sales growth in recent weeks marks a shift in the Canadian housing market’s recovery.

National sales edged up 1.5 per cent in June from May, while Ontario diverged from the trend with a 1.3-per-cent dip in the same period.

Mr. Hogue points to the Bank of Canada’s resumption of its rate hike campaign and the unexpectedly solid price gains in some markets in the spring as two reasons for diminished buyers’ enthusiasm.

In June, new listings grew faster than sales for the second straight month in Canada, but much more supply is needed to bulk up historically low inventories, he adds.

“Buyers still face a scarcity of options in the majority of markets, tilting the scale in favour of sellers,” Mr. Hogue says in a note to clients.

For now, prices continue to appreciate at a rapid clip, Mr. Hogue says, pointing to the 2-per-cent jump in the aggregate composite MLS home price index in June from May. He expects that pace to moderate through the remainder of 2023 as higher interest rates trim the purchasing budget of many buyers.

Faisal Susiwala, broker at Re/Max Twin City, says buyers in the Ontario cities of Kitchener-Waterloo and Cambridge are hesitant.

“Right now people have retracted. They’re on the sidelines waiting to see what happens.”

In addition to the uncertainty surrounding rate hikes, the market typically becomes somnolent in July, he adds.

“These two weeks of July are virtually non-existent when it comes to sales.”

Even in a slow market, some sellers are continuing to receive multiple offers, but the ferocity of the bidding has calmed down since April and May.

Mr. Susiwala says sellers are disappointed when showings and sales slow to a trickle but he advises against signalling desperation by cutting the price after two weeks.

The area west of Toronto saw new listings increase in June from May, while sales remained at about the same level.

In Guelph, Ont., the action feels less chaotic as supply rises and days on market stretch out, says Aimee Puthon, real estate agent with Coldwell Banker Neumann Real Estate.

“It feels like people have taken their foot off the gas and they’re sitting in their Muskoka chairs.”

She is seeing more conditional offers, including some buyers making the deal conditional on the sale of their existing property.

Ms. Puthon is urging sellers to remain patient.

“When a property doesn’t sell in three days with five offers, people tend to freak out a bit,” she says. But Ms. Puthon reminds homeowners that midsummer is typically a quiet time.

She has heard from a few homeowners planning to list after Labour Day but she says it’s too soon to tell how the supply will compare with previous years.

“People who really had to sell or wanted to sell came on in the spring.”

Mr. Susiwala is seeing homeowners increasingly stretched by the higher rates and strongly advises people who are struggling to pay their mortgage to work with the lender before the sheriff arrives and locks are changed.

Lenders send many letters and try to work out a plan with homeowners before they force a sale, he notes, but borrowers need to face the problem head on.

“Ultimately they show up and you’re out.”

Mr. Susiwa has sold three properties under power of sale in the past four months.

“We’ve seen some really nasty things happening.”

The problem stems from the fact that homeowners who purchased in the spring of 2018 have been seeing their mortgages come up for renewal if they signed up for a five-year term, he explains.

Rates at the time were between 2.8 and 3.2 per cent, he says, but today those homeowners will be facing a rate of around 6.25 per cent.

The homeowners who paid down the mortgage each month are not likely to be in trouble, he says.

The crisis he sees today is among those homeowners who took out a home equity line of credit (HELOC) in 2021, after their property value had soared, to pay for expensive items such as renovations, swimming pools and cars.

Mr. Susiwala is seeing distressed homeowners now that the interest rate on a HELOC is 7.5 per cent instead of the 1.25 to 1.5 per cent they were paying in 2021.

If they need to renew or refinance, they grapple with mortgage rates around 6 per cent today and may not be financially stable enough to pass the stress test at a rate 2-per-cent higher.

Mr. Susiwala expects to see more such cases and an increase in listings as a result.

“That is the sad reality of what we are going to face going into September.”

An added pressure is that people who have no choice but to sell are moving to the rental market and sending prices higher in that segment.

Mr. Susiwala urges homeowners to try to weather the storm if they can, including borrowing money from family members if possible.

“This is not a time to panic and sell at a loss,” he says.

The Difference Between Being Pre-Qualified and Pre-Approved

From the Realtor.ca Team

After eight successive rate hikes, the Bank of Canada held its benchmark policy rate steady to 4.5% in March 2023. As a result, some Canadians may be ready to reassess their home buying plans, which may require some mortgage shopping.

Pre-qualification and pre-approval are common terms you’ll hear in the mortgage space. While both options can be a helpful first step toward securing a mortgage loan, there are some distinctions between mortgage pre-qualification and mortgage pre-approval that are critical for borrowers to note.

Mortgage pre-qualification

What is a mortgage pre-qualification?
Pre-qualification can be a preemptive step in the home buying process, and is meant to help borrowers get a feel for the loan amount they might be able to secure. It’s typically a brief process that involves going over the borrower’s financial situation.

“Pre-qualification is a very casual calculation. It’s usually verbal,” says Harpreet Singh, a REALTOR® with Avion Realty Inc. in Markham, Ontario, and former Financial Services Representative with CIBC. “There’s no application in the system, and even if I’m checking your documentation, no third party is checking it.”

Although the lender may perform what’s called a “soft credit inquiry,” Singh says pre-qualification “has no implication” on the borrower’s credit score.

Since it’s simply a rough estimate, pre-qualification doesn’t guarantee the borrower will be approved for the loan amount quoted down the line.

Mortgage pre-approval

What is a mortgage pre-approval?
Pre-approval is a much more formal and lengthy process. It requires a comprehensive review of income, debts, and assets. Unlike pre-qualification, it calls for a “hard credit inquiry,” so it can temporarily lower your credit score.

“It’s pretty much a full-fledged mortgage application,” says Singh. “You’re taking in all your documentation—your pay stubs, your savings account statements—into your bank and the bank will pre-approve you for a loan amount. The approval is usually good for three or four months.”

While pre-approval doesn’t necessarily guarantee a loan, it’s a more serious step in the mortgage process, and can help homeowners to close on a home faster once they’re ready to buy. Additionally, the pre-approval process can help borrowers to identify and resolve any issues with their credit.

“Let’s say you have a car loan and you have $5,000 owing on it, or you had a credit card from a long time ago that you never made the payment on. Even if it’s a very small payment, it could impact your mortgage application,” says Singh. “With pre-approval, you can rectify all those mistakes beforehand.”

In a REALTOR.ca Living Room blog article debunking common real estate myths, REALTOR® Kevin Appl, in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, told us one of the biggest misconceptions around real estate is that it’s OK to home shop without pre-approval.

“Why would you house shop without knowing your budget?” he said. “I’ve seen this several times when a client starts to budget creep and winds up falling in love with a property that a lender ultimately can’t finance for them. It’s heartbreaking. Plus, from the perspective of a REALTOR®, we’re unable to fully serve the client since we have no idea of a shopping range, as well as how competitive that buyer will be in a multiple offer situation without financing.”

Pre-qualification vs Pre-approval: Which option is better?

Which option is right for you?
Generally speaking, Singh recommends his clients go the pre-approval route if they’re serious about their home buying plans. Getting pre-approved can give buyers a competitive advantage in a competitive housing market, and allow borrowers to lock in a more desirable loan amount in an uncertain rate environment.

That said, there are circumstances in which pre-qualification is the better option. For instance, if the borrower is simply sizing up their options, and isn’t planning to purchase for a number of months, or if they have concerns about their credit score.

“I’ll also move clients towards a pre-qualification phase if I think the application itself is very simple,” adds Singh.

In any case, whether you opt for pre-qualification or pre-approval, Singh recommends prospective home buyers work with an expert to assess which option—pre-qualification or pre-approval—is right for them. Beyond that, he cautions borrowers against holding information back when dealing with a mortgage agent.

“Buying a home is the biggest transaction of someone’s life, so it’s important to give as much information as you can to your mortgage agent,” he says. “In the end, your mortgage application is a story. The better you explain your story, the better off you’ll be.”

The article above is for information purposes and is not legal or financial advice or a substitute for legal counsel.

Homebuyers remain determined while sellers step back in response to additional interest rate hikes: Royal LePage

From the Royal Lepage Canada Blog

Home prices expected to hold steady through remainder of 2023, despite anticipated drop in activity following second consecutive increase to BoC’s overnight lending rate

Second quarter highlights:

National aggregate home price remained almost flat year-over-year in Q2 2023 (-0.7% over Q2 2022) and increased 4.0% quarter-over-quarter (second consecutive quarterly increase)
Aggregate price of a home in Canada in Q2 2023 sits just 5.6% below the peak reached in Q1 of last year
94% of regions in the report posted quarterly aggregate home price appreciation
National year-end forecast updated. Prices in Q4 2023 now expected to rise 8.5% over final quarter of 2022; essentially flat over the next six months
Chronic shortage of housing supply, due in part to sellers’ hesitancy to list, continues to put upward pressure on home prices
Royal LePage urges officials to quickly increase support for more development, including affordable, purpose-built rental buildings
TORONTO, July 13, 2023 –According to the Royal LePage House Price Survey released today, the aggregate[1] price of a home in Canada decreased modestly by 0.7 per cent year-over-year to $809,200 in the second quarter of 2023, indicating that nationally, the real estate market is close to the point where it will have recovered fully from 2022’s post-pandemic market correction. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the aggregate price of a home in Canada rose 4.0 per cent in Q2. This was the second consecutive quarter to show positive growth following a rapid decline in prices over the last year as a result of the Bank of Canada’s aggressive interest rate hike campaign, which began in March of 2022.

“Almost all Canadian homeowners have seen the value of their properties appreciate handsomely over time. A few who purchased at the tail end of the pandemic-fueled real estate boom saw the value of their homes drop below purchase price during the subsequent market correction,” said Phil Soper, president and CEO of Royal LePage. “We are close to that pivotal point where people who purchased at the peak would break even if they sold today.

“The Bank of Canada’s prolonged series of interest rate hikes has changed where and how people live. It has pushed some buyer hopefuls to choose less expensive housing types or neighbourhoods. Others have chosen to relocate to more affordable markets across their province or across the country. And, some buyers have been pushed to the sidelines indefinitely,” Soper continued. “Economic uncertainty has caused some potential sellers to reevaluate their plans as well. The worry that they will be unable to find the move-up home they need in today’s tight market is a major concern. Further, there are those who secured fixed-rate mortgages at generational lows of two per cent or even less, who are understandably reluctant to wade back into a market with substantially higher borrowing costs. Fewer sellers mean fewer listings, which adds further pressure to our chronic shortage of inventory. Access to affordable housing in Canada will continue to be a major social issue.”

The Royal LePage National House Price Composite is compiled from proprietary property data nationally and in 62 of the nation’s largest real estate markets. When broken out by housing type, the national median price of a single-family detached home declined 2.0 per cent year-over-year to $841,900, while the median price of a condominium remained essentially flat, decreasing by just 0.4 per cent year-over-year to $586,900. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the median price of a home in these property segments rose 4.1 and 2.7 per cent, respectively. Price data, which includes both resale and new build, is provided by Royal LePage’s sister company RPS Real Property Solutions, a leading Canadian real estate valuation company.

Additional interest rate hikes

After two consecutive rate holds in March and April, the Bank of Canada announced last month that it was raising interest rates by another 25 basis points, before announcing a further quarter-point increase on Wednesday. The central bank’s overnight lending rate now sits at 5.0 per cent.[2]

“Despite the central bank’s decision to start raising interest rates again, many buyers are still in the game. Demand remains strong, particularly among those who have secured a rate hold,” said Soper. “Buyers who are determined to make a purchase this year have accepted the reality of higher initial carrying costs, rationally surmising that rates are at or near peak and will become more affordable before long.”

Some buyers may have to adjust their expectations, widen their geographical search parameters or acquire a property that is smaller or more affordable in order to be successful.

Royal LePage’s 2023 Canadian First-time Homebuyer Survey found that 34 per cent of first-time buyers in Canada purchased a home in a more affordable region or neighbourhood than they had originally planned, and another 32 per cent purchased a smaller home, due to the impacts of current economic conditions, including the increased cost of living and lending rates.

“Contrary to some buyers who appear undeterred by the central bank’s decision to restart its rate increase campaign, many would-be sellers who do not have a critical need to move imminently have hit the pause button again, further exacerbating the inventory shortage,” added Soper.

With record-setting immigration targets in place for the next several years, and housing starts on the decline across the country,[3] due to labour shortages and higher construction and borrowing costs, pressure on home prices continues to build.

Nearing the break-even point

Approximately one third (32%) of regions in the report posted year-over-year aggregate price gains in the second quarter, and only four regions reported quarterly declines.

“At this time last year, the market correction was in full-swing, and home prices had been declining from peak for several months. A theme I heard often was, ‘Why buy today, when I may be able to buy the same home for less tomorrow?’ As some doomsday forecasters predicted economic collapse and sharply rising unemployment, the pull-back in demand was understandably extensive, causing home prices to drop right across the country,” said Soper. “Yet the housing correction was short-lived. Across Canada, a return to pre-pandemic levels of demand, and the continued lack of supply, has been applying upward pressure on prices once again.”

Just as the market correction unfolded at various times in different regions across the country, so too has the recovery. The aggregate price of a home in Canada remains 5.6 per cent below the peak reached in the first quarter of last year.

The aggregate price of a home in the Greater Toronto Area, Canada’s largest and second-most expensive real estate market, posted a slight increase year-over-year in the second quarter, however remains 7.0 per cent below the region’s peak recorded in Q1 of last year. Similarly, the aggregate price of a home in Greater Vancouver, the country’s most expensive market, remains 6.9 per cent below the region’s peak, also recorded in Q1 of 2022. In the Greater Montreal Area, where home prices reached their highest level a little later, in Q2 of 2022, the aggregate price of a home sits just 2.4 per cent below the peak. Of the country’s three largest urban centres, the GMA experienced the shortest correction period. In the prairie provinces, prices also reached their peak in the second quarter of 2022, while some parts of Atlantic Canada reached their peak in Q2 and others in Q3 of last year.

Rental markets heating up

The increased cost of borrowing is also having a significant impact on rental markets across the country. Faced with higher carrying costs, landlords are passing those expenses on to their tenants by raising rent prices. In addition, would-be buyers who were unable to qualify for lending or who have been priced out of the resale market are moving to, or remaining in, the rental market, which is adding additional pressure on an already low supply of available rental units. According to Statistics Canada’s latest Consumer Price Index, rent in May was up 5.7% over the same period last year.[4]

“In some cities, paying rent has become as expensive as making a monthly mortgage payment. The difference for many young people is the ability to acquire a down payment – whether through savings or with the financial assistance of parents or relatives,” said Soper. “It is essential that our governments increase support for the development of affordable, purpose-built rental buildings, especially in cities like Toronto and Vancouver, where it is becoming increasingly unaffordable for young people to establish themselves without financial help.”

Forecast

Royal LePage is forecasting that the aggregate price of a home in Canada will increase 8.5 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2023, compared to the same quarter last year. The previous forecast has been revised upward to reflect strong activity and price appreciation in the first half of the year.

“The Bank of Canada remains determined to bring inflation down to its target of less than three per cent. This has proven to be especially challenging at a time when the job market is so strong and Canadians continue to spend, partly due to a build-up of savings during the pandemic,” noted Soper.

“The Canadian real estate market has been in a steady state of recovery since the start of the year. While these additional interest rate hikes, and those potentially to come, will likely put a damper on activity and sales volumes, demand for housing remains very strong. We expect the rate of appreciation to moderate through the second half of 2023, causing home prices to level off or increase marginally.”

On a quarter-over-quarter basis, Royal LePage expects the national aggregate home price to remain essentially flat over the next six months, with only modest quarterly increases.

Cool Roads for Cool Fall Driving

There are three types of roads in Muskoka: through roads, get-to roads, and, for drivers, really cool roads.

Through roads (Highway 11, Highway 169) are four lanes, free flowing, and boring. They cut hard swaths through rock and wood. They move loads of cars. They transport Muskokans from points A to B. And, while necessary, they’re also uninspiring.

Get-to roads (Highway 118, Highway 117) are the two-laners used to reach our homes and cottages. They lay more interesting tracks—past lakes and swamps, wood, rock, the occasional dwelling—and their hillsides in fall are peppered with coloured maples: red, yellow, rusty brown, and orange.

Muskoka’s really cool roads are those few people use, or are even aware of. They ripple by unknown lakes, rumble through vast outcroppings of rock, roll over hills and past ghost towns long since forgotten. These roads are for drivers. These roads are worthy of an autumn afternoon in an enviable car with a killer sound system.

There are many, many cool roads in Muskoka. These three suggestions surround Lake of Bays, travelling from Bracebridge to Baysville, to Dorset, Dwight, and Huntsville.

  1. On the outskirts of Bracebridge, head north on Cedar Lane—a cool road. It starts out broad and bland. But once past Macaulay Public School, it narrows and gets interesting. With its sweeping bends and the occasional hard corner, this tight two-laner segues swiftly into Highway 117. Yes, the fun is over too quickly. Soon you’ll find yourself on a get-to road that leads direct to Lake of Bays.
  2. Past Bayville, head northeast on 117. For drivers, this section of get-to road is uninspiring until you reach a real classic, Old Highway 117—another cool road. Watch carefully for the left turn off new 117 to the old portion—the signs will also point the way to Norway Point. Soon after the turn, take a side trip on Glenmount Road, which leads to the Point, so called because of the collection of Norway pines on its shore. There’s a whitewashed church close by, hidden in a grove of old trees and surrounded by some of the lake’s oldest cottages. The lakeside church, built in 1944, replaces the original built in 1908 by the ministers of the day. That building collapsed under the weight of the snow. As Mary Lynn Findlay says in her book Lures and Legends of Lake of Bays, “the ministers were better preachers than they were builders.”

Doubling back on Glenmount Road to Old Highway 117, hang a left and steer for the mainland docks of Bigwin Island. For drivers, this section is classic old-cottage-road fare. It’s a sleepy little track that follows the contours of the land—the road bends to nature rather than nature being blasted away to make way for the road. There are gentle elevation changes, pretty views of the lake, and a glimpses of cottage life on Lake of Bays. It’s short but sweet, delivering you back to new 117 in about 15 minutes.

  1. South Portage Road from Dwight Beach Road to North Portage is a series of twists and turns through tunnels of trees. These swoops and dips are a tempting lead-in to the thrills that lie ahead on North Portage. As you approach North Portage you’ll pass by a public beach and boat launch area. Turn right onto North Portage and you immediately climb a hill and start to twist and turn through heavily wooded tracts of land. The turns come quickly, and must be respected as traffic can be steady on this section of cool road. Some corners require firm braking and lots of steering input, but they’re well signed and include suggested speeds. About one-third of the way along North Portage is the white-washed Portage Inn. Don’t gawk, as the road takes a sharp left and begins to parallel the south shore of Peninsula Lake. This roller-coaster ride is wonderful fun, if a little rough. The road surface has suffered from the freeze-thaw cycle, and some sections have weathered more poorly than others. As you twist and turn along North Portage you’ll come to one final sharp right-hand corner and you pop out onto Canal Road, and from there you’ll head on to Huntsville.

 

 

Happiness is Maple Syrup Month in Muskoka

March and April are the yummiest of maple syrup months in Muskoka. There are more than 30 producers situated within Cottage Country—from mom+pop farms and shops to huge makers that ship their liquid gold worldwide—all hard at work in springtime. And while many local sugarbushes may be closed to visitors during this pandemic, it’s still business as usual in the forest. Almost nothing stops a maple tree’s sap from running, not even Covid. Muskoka’s maple syrup yield in 2021 is expected to be a good one.

There are many reasons why maple syrup is so yummy.

*Sweetness. *Richness. *Naturalness. *Friendliness to the environment.

Without much thought, most of us snap a bottle off the grocery store shelf when we’re thinking Sunday brunch with pancakes. But true connoisseurs know that not all maple syrups are made equal. Like wine, there’s a hierarchy. It pays to pay attention.

Colour

First, there’s colour. In fact, there are four colours: Light, Medium, Dark & Very Dark. Each has a taste and a use. Here’s the breakdown:

Light: Pale golden brown syrup is treasured for its delicate flavour. Think: Topping for pancakes, yogurt or ice cream.

Medium: Slightly darker in colour, this rich, sticky liquid is still fabulous for pancakes and ice cream. In fact, some people prefer it. But its sweetness and richness in flavour are also ideal enhancers for side dishes and desserts, including smoothies and salad dressings.

Dark: Chock full of fragrant maple flavour, dark syrups are magical in cooking. Recipes best suited include stews, chilis, and baked treats such as pies and muffins.

Very Dark: Robust flavours make these syrups the line-backers of cooking. They anchor any maple-rich recipe, including glazes and sauces.

Ingredients

And then there are the ingredients. Scratch that… the ingredient. There’s only one ingredient in 100% Canadian maple syrup. Can you guess what that is? Answer: Maple sap, pure and simple. The product is truly organic. It takes 40 litres of sap to produce just one litre of maple syrup. Maybe that’s why they call it liquid gold. Getting it from the tree to our tummies is a major endeavour.

Yet, while there’s only one ingredient, there are many nutrients in maple syrup. According to maplefromcanada.ca: “One 60 ml (1/4 cup) serving of Maple Syrup contains 72% of the daily nutritional requirement of manganese, 27% of riboflavin, 17% of copper, and 6% of calcium.”

Uses

There are at least 101 uses for maple syrup. They range widely and it’d be a lot of work to list each one of them. But here are a few, including some that might surprise you:

Maple Sugar: Granulated sugar sometimes moulded into the shape of a maple leaf and eaten as candy. Some people swear by it as a sweetener for tea or coffee.

Maple Taffy: Boil it up and pour it in a line on clean snow, then quickly roll up with a popsicle stick. Sugar shacks are specialists at passing these lollies out to kids at Spring Break. Seriously, there’s nothing better.

Maple Butter: There’s actually no butter in maple butter. It’s really just a different form of maple syrup. Cooked in a certain way to make it thick and creamy—ideal as a toast topper.

Maple Wine: Yep, they make wine out of pretty much anything these days, including maple syrup. Érablière du Cap’s L’Avrillon is one of them.

Maple Beer: And where there’s a wine there’s a beer. Coming quickly to mind: Sawdust City’s Maple Butter Tart Ale and the Spring Maple Belgian Blonde by Lake of Bays Brewery.

Happiness

To sum it all up, we turn back to maplefromcanada.ca to remind us why March and April are the yummiest of maple syrup months in Muskoka: because it makes us happy: “Family outings to the sugar shack, that first maple taffy on the snow, Mom’s maple syrup pie, the comfort of maple butter on toast on a winter morning… Happiness is Maple!”

Books by Muskoka Authors

Muskoka is known well for its artists—painters, sculptors, potters—appearing at the annual Summer Show in Bracebridge and displaying their works at studios scattered across cottage country. Lesser known but equally vital are Muskoka’s authors. There’s a growing group of them, many belonging to the Muskoka Authors Association (MAA), which fosters and supports its members through monthly meetings and how-to seminars hosted by some of Canada’s most accomplished writers. This month I’d like to introduce you to three of those MAA authors: Paul Feist, Wendy Truscott, and David Bruce Patterson. All three published new books in late 2020. 

 

Paul Feist: Broken Anchor

You may recognize author Paul Feist as a humorist, writer, and actor. Feist has appeared on stage in multiple theatre and television productions. His weekly humour columns in The Muskoka Sun captured oddball cottage and country living stories from 1993 to 2007. Feist has now turned his talents to writing fiction in the style of Terry Fallis and Stephen Leacock. His latest effort is a novel titled Broken Anchor, a 1950s adventure/romance tracing a year-in-the-life of a cocky kid named Dan Dawson as he toiled on a Great Lakes tanker. And while the there’s plenty of ‘inside reveal’ of life on a gritty ship carrying cargo for the British American Oil Company—brothels and backstreet bars included—at the book’s core is a light-hearted story of friendship, family, and love. It’s the coming-of-age efforts of a boisterous kid trying to do right by his mother, girlfriend(s), and closest ship mate. Broken Anchor is available for sale ($20) in Bracebridge at Majestic Hair Design, Martins Framing Centre, and Worth Repeating, or by contacting Paul directly at feistpaul@hotmail.com

 

Wendy B. Truscott: MacGregor’s Curse

Wendy Truscott is a prolific author and artist living in the Baysville area. MacGregor’s Curse is her second novel in a series of books for young adults (YA), a series that began with Haunted Journey. Both are set in old Muskoka—general stores, dirt roads, horse-drawn buggies—and both books are journeys back in time to the early days of places we love and recognize in Muskoka. Overwhelmed by grief for his dead mother, young Jamie MacGregor of MacGregor’s Curse commits an act of revenge he immediately regrets. Lacking purpose, confidence, and friends, Jamie falls under the spell of a dangerous blackmailer. As others work behind the scenes to help him find his way again, Jamie’s life begins to turn around, but the blackmailer remains determined to bring him down, and falling for a lively girl brings complications. Events come to a head with a spectacular and dangerous theft. During a rescue attempt, Jamie must prove to others he can be trusted. Truscott’s books ($20) are available via her website: wendytruscott.com.

 

David Bruce Patterson: Square Wheels

Author and poet David Bruce Patterson is an avid contributor to Bracebridge life, serving his church, political campaigns, Friends of the Library, and the Muskoka Authors’ Association with verve and dedication. In Square Wheels, his first full-length novel, the author takes us back to Toronto in the Roaring 1920s, a world filled with dance halls, silent-movie cinemas, and jazz music. This is not a fast read, but rather a long, slow, insightful dip into a Toronto lost in time. Fashion, food, transportation, even vacation-friendly Muskoka in the 1920s are revealed through the trials and tribulations of the Conor family. Add a Toronto streetcar disaster that throws the family, their friends, and all of the city into peril and you’ve got a saga that’ll stay with you long after you’ve turned the last pages. Square Wheels ($25) can be purchased by contacting David at david.patterson@alumni.utoronto.ca. Copies can also be purchased at the Heron’s Nest Gallery.

Should I Stay or Should I Go?

Whether to stay in or get outside is a question Muskokans are going to ask themselves throughout the winter as we await a fix for this pandemic. Fortunately we’re in an area blessed with vast outdoor spaces in which physical distancing is doable. And while safety protocols must be followed, experts are indicating it’s possible to ski and skate safely this winter. I’ve gathered some suggestions on how and where to make it happen in Muskoka.

XC Skiing

Stay six feet apart. That’s the guideline stipulated by XC Ski Ontario, and it’s an easy measure thanks to the equipment on your feet. The organization states the average length of XC skis is about six feet, giving recreational skiers a simple reference.

Cross-Country ski trails in Muskoka are open this winter, including the Bracebridge Resource Management Centre, where there are more than 16 km of trail for all levels and there’s no fee. Limberlost Forest and Wildlife Reserve near Huntsville is also free. Its trails feature fun and informative titles—Turtle Lake Trail and Ski Hill Trail—all lined with varieties of larch, hemlock and massive basswoods.  Offering the motherlode of XC trails near Muskoka, however, is Algonquin Park: 85 km of groomed trails plus 32 kilometres more of ungroomed, wilderness skiing.

Skating Trails

Outdoor ice skating, especially along trails, is widely supported by health officials this season, who cite its benefits and its natural open areas. “There’s a lot of space and a lot of movement, which is good,” says one of Canada’s top epidemiologists. “It means you’re not being exposed to the same people for prolonged periods, and the ventilation is, of course, second to none.”

Listed among the Top 50 Canadian Winter Experiences, the Arrowhead Ice Skating Trail in Arrowhead Park is 1.3 km of fairytale goodness, especially at night when the trailside torches are lit. Winding through dense Muskoka forest, this is a true bucket-list experience. Standard Covid protocols apply, including mask wearing and social distancing. Ontario provincial parks may restrict the number of daily visitors to their parks to ensure safety. Visitors are encouraged to check park rules and limits before arrival.

Alpine Skiing

There are 236 ski areas in Canada and most of them plan to be open this season by adopting the Ski Well, Be Well slogan. Ski resort associations across the country have created Covid safety standards for all resorts, including those situated in or near Muskoka: Hidden Valley, Horseshoe Resort, and Mount St. Louis.

There’s little doubt your favourite ski area will operate much differently than in previous seasons, but don’t let that stop you. Among the protocols: wearing face coverings at all times, changing your boots in the car instead of the lodge, and physical distancing of at least two metres in lift lines. Fortunately, due to lengths of skis and snowboards, distancing within liftlines is achievable.

Singles lines will be eliminated at most resorts; only those within the same party will be permitted to load onto a chairlift. Most chairs are spaced at least 15 metres apart and travel at speeds between eight and 27 km/h, which authorities say ensures directional air flow. At the top of the lifts, skiers will be encouraged to move away from unloading areas as quickly as possible, and will not be permitted to gather.

Again, skiers will be directed to use their cars as baselodges this winter: lunches, snacks, boot changing, and equipment storing will all take place in the parking lot.

And yes, as with all of the above activities, remember to bring your own hot chocolate!

The Women of Winter

Winter has always been a favourite of mine, especially in Muskoka. Snow has a special way of lighting cottage country landscapes by blanketing the evergreens, sparkling the fields, and rendering frozen lakes in smooth, contemplative whites. I’ve been admiring the way Muskoka’s women artists are able to capture this beauty on canvas. Painter Lynda Lynn, for example, a colleague of mine in real estate, is especially talented in catching the feel and colour of a Muskoka winter. Joining her are fellow mixed media artists Wendie Donabie and Janice Feist. This month I’m profiling their winter works. Join me in celebrating these remarkable women.

Lynda Lynn

Perhaps the most recognizable painting by Lynda Lynn is a depiction of downtown Bracebridge during the annual festival titled Fire and Ice. Lynn uses soft watercolours, oils and acrylics in her representationals to put you right there in the scene. In the Fire and Ice painting, you’re walking the store-lined hill on Manitoba Street alongside the artist, sensing the cold and the wind, but also the joy of children as they slide on snow. A profile of the artist in Unique Muskoka explained it this way: “Using this style captures the overall picture but allows the artist to manipulate specific parts to create a more balanced composition for the art piece.” Lynn is a fifth generation Muskokan, her family first arriving to homestead in the 1800s. The place is in her soul. “I love the feel of the soft breezes on my face,” she explains, “the rainbows in the dewdrops, the smell of the land after a summer rain, (and the) softly falling snowflakes as big as feathers.” You can view more of Lynda Lynn’s work at www.muskokaartist-lyndalynn.com

Wendie Donabie

Paintings by Wendie Donabie start with a walk and a camera. Alongside her husband Hugh Nichols, a commercial realtor, Donabie hikes the trails of Muskoka in both winter and summer, seeking what she calls her next muse. “When I witness a scene that causes my heart to flutter and goose pimples to rise on my skin,” she says, “I’m moved to capture the moment with a photo.” Back in her Bracebridge studio, a light sketch comes next, then the painting begins. “I know a painting is finished,” she says, “when I experience the same emotional response that inspired its creation.” In her Heron’s Nest Gallery (95 Muskoka Road), Donabie exhibits a range of her work, from realistic to abstract and impressionistic. Many feature creatures of Muskoka’s streams and woodlands—birds, deer, fish—and many are mystical. Among my favourites: Winter Solstice, an acrylic that captures the sun as it lights a snowy trail in the heart of a Muskoka forest. Wendie Donabie’s work can be seen at www.wendiedonabie.com

Janice Feist

Being surrounded by the lush landscape of Muskoka is Janice Feist’s “idea of heaven”. Living and working here for more than 30 years, the painter and sculptor is inspired by the beauty and ruggedness of the Canadian Shield. “It’s a magical place,” she says, “an artist’s treasure.” Feist has always been drawn to colour and texture. Her paintings capture what it’s like to view a stormy sky in winter, or encounter a wolf or a bear as he roams the leafless woodlands. In sculpture, Feist holds a place in her heart for horses. Hand-built in papier mache, these silent beauties are stoic and majestic, some with snow blanketing their backs and faces. To view Janice Feist’s work, see www.janicefeist.com

Turkeys and Cranberries: Happy Thanksgiving!

There are some sure signs that Thanksgiving is just around the corner: wild turkeys are on the move, often visible at roadside (or on the road) at this time of year; the cranberry harvest has begun; and fall colours are almost at their peak.

In honour of that belly-busting holiday, here are a few fun facts that you might not know about Muskoka’s turkeys or its cranberries.

Gobble, gobble

Did you know that turkeys were extirpated from Ontario in the early 1900s thanks to unregulated hunting and forests that were cleared for agriculture? You wouldn’t know it today—a reintroduction program that began in 1984 was hugely successful and the 4,400 wild turkeys released then has grown into a population of more than 70,000 birds across the province.

Turkeys can run at speeds up to 40 kilometres per hour, although you’re more likely to find them sauntering. They seem to particularly enjoy a leisurely stroll when they are in front of your car.

Turkeys sleep in trees…

…which means that despite their large size they can fly short distances.

Some people do still hunt turkeys, although most of us buy ready-to-cook domesticated birds from the grocery store, or maybe some tofurkey for the vegetarians and vegans among us.

Hello, sweet-tart

Cranberries are a classic side dish for roast turkey, loved by some, reviled by others. (If you’re in the latter category, ditch the gelatinous canned stuff and try the recipe below. If it doesn’t convert you, nothing will!)

Did you know that Muskoka has its very own cranberry bog, or that cranberries are native only to North America?

In commercial cranberry operations, the berries are harvested in water to make picking easier: cranberries float.

Indigenous peoples used cranberries not only for food—pemmican is a mixture of dried meat and mashed cranberries—but they also used its juice as a natural dye.

Muskoka’s cranberries are celebrated every year during the Bala Cranberry Festival, which is held on the weekend following Thanksgiving.

And if you want to include some fresh, local cranberries in your Thanksgiving feast, try this recipe. It’s super easy and delicious, with just the right balance of sweet and tart. (Add more sugar to taste if you like it on the sweeter side.)

Killer Cranberry Sauce

Ingredients:

  • 1 ½ c. sugar
  • 1 navel orange
  • ½ tsp. grated ginger
  • 4 c. cranberries
  • ½ c. toasted pecans (optional)

Instructions:

  1. Grate the orange peel and add to a pot with the sugar and ginger. Squeeze the juice from the orange and add that to the pot, too. Simmer over medium heat until the sugar is dissolved.
  2. Add the cranberries and cook until most of them have popped (about five minutes).
  3. Add the pecans if desired.
  4. Cool sauce and serve. Can be made the night before and refrigerated.

Happy Thanksgiving, everyone!

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